Probability in brief
For equally likely outcomes, probability is the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes.
GUIDES / PROBABILITY
Reason clearly about chance.
Probability provides a mathematical framework for describing uncertainty; it does not eliminate uncertainty.
THE ESSENTIALS
Built on clear principles.
Independence
Independent events do not change each other's probabilities. Whether events are independent depends on the system and its rules.
The gambler's fallacy
A random event is not necessarily more likely to reverse simply because a similar outcome occurred several times in a row.
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Curiosity is a good place to start.
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